Kunobva: Oriental Fortune
Zvigadzirwa zvemapepa muChina zvinogona kukamurwa kuita "zvigadzirwa zvemapepa" uye "zvigadzirwa zvemakadhibhodhi" zvichienderana nemashandisirwo azvo. Zvigadzirwa zvemapepa zvinosanganisira pepa remapepanhau, bepa rekuputira, bepa repamba nezvimwewo. Zvigadzirwa zvemakadhibhodhi zvinosanganisira bhodhi rebhokisi recorrugate uyeBhokisi rinopetwa reFBB
Sechikamu chakakosha cheindasitiri yekurongedza, musika wemabhokisi emapepa ane makorari unoita basa guru mukukura kwehupfumi hweChina. Nekukura kuri kuita indasitiri yekurongedza muChina uye kuwedzera kuri kuita kudiwa kwezvigadzirwa zvemapepa panosvika gore ra2023, musika wemabhokisi emapepa une mikana yakanaka yekukura.
Zvichienzaniswa nezvimwe zviratidzo zvikuru zvekukura kwehupfumi hweUS, zvakaita seChamber of Commerce's Leading Economic Activity Indicators, non-manufacturing PMI, uroja hwevasina mabasa, inverted yield curve, basa rinoratidza kudiwa kwemakadhibhodhi pakudzikira kwehupfumi rinogona kuregeredzwa, asi izvi hazvikanganisi kukosha kwaro munyanzvi nenyanzvi kuti vaone kuti hupfumi hwacho hunosvika papi pakuderera kwehupfumi.
Kuderera kwehupfumi hwemakadhibhodhi, tsananguro yaro ndeyekuda kwezvigadzirwa zvemakadhibhodhi zvepepa muzvikamu zvina zvakatevedzana zvekuderera kwehupfumi. Muhupfumi hweUS munguva pfupi yapfuura yekuderera kwehupfumi, chiitiko che "Kuderera kwehupfumi hwemakadhibhodhi" chinowanzoita kuti hupfumi huwedzere kudzikira kwehupfumi husati hwatanga "chiedza chitsvuku".
Mugadziri wemakadhibhodhi wechitatu pakukura muUS Packaging Corp of America (Packaging Corp of America) akazivisa svondo rino, mushure mekudzikira kwe12.7% mukota yekutanga, kudzikira kukuru kwati kwamboitika, mushure mekota yechipiri.Kadhibhodhi reCorrugatedKutengeswa kwakaderera ne9.8% gore negore. Zvichienderana nedata rakaunganidzwa neFreightWaves Research, kambani yekuongorora zvinhu, US Packaging Corp of America muzvikamu zviviri zvekupedzisira zvekuderera kwekutengesa zvinhu mumabhokisi emakadhibhodhi kwakakwira zvikuru kubvira kutanga kwa2009.
Kukwira nekukurumidza kwemubereko weFederal Reserve kwaderedza kudiwa kwemabhokisi emakadhibhodhi, uye kudiwa kunogona kunge kuri kupinda mukudzikira kwenguva refu. Panguva yechi26 yemuno, sezvaitarisirwa nemusika, Fed yakawedzera chinangwa chayo chemubereko nemapoinzi makumi maviri nemashanu kusvika pakukwirira kwemakore makumi maviri nemaviri kwe5.25%-5.5% pamusangano wayo wemubereko waChikunguru. Kusvika pari zvino, kubva munaKurume 2022 kuti ivhure kutenderera kwazvino kwekuwedzera kwemubereko kubva pakatanga maitiro aya, Fed yakawedzera mubereko kagumi nerimwe, kumhanya kwakanyanya kwekuwedzera kwemubereko kubvira kuma1980.
Kuderera kwebhodhi repepaKutumirwa kwezvinhu chiratidzo chematambudziko makuru ehupfumi.” Kuderera kwehupfumi kuri kupi?” Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO weQI Research, akashandisa mapuratifomu enhau dzemagariro evanhu achiseka achifuratira matambudziko akaratidzwa nekushanda kwemakambani ekurongedza emuUS.
US iri pakati pe "kudzikira kwehupfumi hwemakadhibhodhi," izvo zvinogona kukonzera kusasimba kwemusika wemabasa uye kumanikidzwa kwakawanda pamari inowanikwa nemakambani, asi zvinogonawo kukonzera kudzikira kukuru kwemitengo panosvika pakupera kwegore.
Klein Topper akadaro mumushumo weMuvhuro, kunyangwe kudzikira kwehupfumi kuchiwanzoita kuti zvikamu zvese zvehupfumi zviderere, asi parizvino zvikamu zvekugadzira nekutengeserana chete ndizvo zvakaderera zvakanyanya. Sekureva kweUS Fibre Box Association, izvi zvakakonzera kudzikira kwekudiwa kwemabhokisi emakadhibhodhi - chiratidzo chisingatariswe chekudzikira kwehupfumi kwakatangira kudzikira kwehupfumi hweUS.
Kunyangwe hazvo US isati yazivisa zviri pamutemo kuti hupfumi huri mudambudziko rehupfumi, asi Knechteling Top yakati hupfumi hweUS huri mudambudziko re "kuderera kwehupfumi hwemakadhibhodhi", izvo zvinogona kukonzera kushomeka kwemusika wemabasa, mabhizinesi anotarisana nekumanikidzwa kukuru kwekuwana purofiti. Vanoisa mari vanogonawo kuona purofiti yakaderera mumusika wemasheya, kunyanya kana kushaya simba uku kukapararira kune mamwe maindasitiri akadai semabasa.
Asi kudzikira uku kunogonawo kupa tariro yekuti inflation ichaderera, sezvo mitengo yekugadzira - kusanganisira mitengo yemabhokisi emakadhibhodhi - muUS PMI data inowanzo kuve mwedzi mitanhatu pamberi peinflation.
Ruzivo rwakaratidza kuti mitengo yemakatoni esimbi anoshandiswa neUS yakakwira kwemwedzi wechipiri wakatevedzana muNorth America zhinji muvhiki yekutanga yaChivabvu, zvichiwedzera mutengo weOCC wemwedzi wacho. Pamwe chete, mutengo weOCC weUS wakakwira nemadhora gumi nemaviri kubva muna Ndira.
Nzvimbo nomwe padzipfumbamwe dzakateverwa neRISI's P&PW dzakashuma mitengo yakakwira yeOCC kutanga kwaChivabvu. MuSoutheastern, Northeastern, Midwestern, Southwestern, nePacific Northwestern US, mitengo yechiteshi chekutengesa yeFOB yakakwira nemadhora mashanu.
Pamabasa ekugadzira mapepa emuno muUS, mitengo yeOCC yakaderera pamhando dzese dzemagiredhi munzvimbo dzeLos Angeles neSan Francisco. Iyi ndiyo chete nzvimbo iyo kuwanikwa kwemafuta kunonzi kwakakwira kunodiwa. Kune OCC neDLK itsva, kugadzirwa kwemafuta emhando yemagiredhi ...
Huwandu hwemusika weindasitiri yemabhokisi emakadhibhodhi muChina hwakasvika makumi emabhiriyoni eRMB muna 2023, kuwedzera kweinenge 10% kubva mugore rapfuura. Kuwedzera uku kwehuwandu hwemusika kunonyanya kukonzerwa nekukura kwehupfumi hweChina, indasitiri yekutengeserana kwepamhepo, uye indasitiri yezvekufambisa zvinhu.
Nguva yekutumira: Zvita-02-2023