Kunobva:Oriental Fortune
Zvigadzirwa zveChina zveindasitiri yemapepa zvinogona kukamurwa kuita "zvigadzirwa zvemapepa" uye "zvigadzirwa zvemakadhibhodi" zvichienderana nekushandiswa kwavo. Zvigadzirwa zvemapepa zvinosanganisira newsprint, kupeta bepa, bepa repamba zvichingodaro. Zvigadzirwa zvekadhibhodhi zvinosanganisira corrugte box board uyeFBB kupeta bhokisi bhodhi
Sechikamu chakakosha cheindasitiri yekurongedza, iyo corrugated paper box musika inoita basa rakakosha mukusimudzira hupfumi hweChina. Nekukura kwakasimba kweChina kurongedza indasitiri uye kukwira zvishoma nezvishoma kwekuda kwezvigadzirwa zvemapepa panosvika 2023, musika wemakadhibhokisi emakadhibhokisi unoratidza tarisiro yekukura.
Zvichienzaniswa nezvimwe zvinotungamira zvinongedzo zvekukura kwehupfumi hweUS, senge Chamber of Commerce's Leading Economic Activity Indicators, isiri-kugadzira PMI, chiyero chekushaikwa kwemabasa, inverted goho curve, iro rinoratidza basa remakadhibhokisi kudiwa pakuderera kwehupfumi kunowanzo kuregererwa. asi izvi hazvikanganisi kukosha kwayo munyanzvi nenyanzvi kuti vaone pfungwa yehupfumi mukuderera kwekutarisa.
Kadhibhodhi bhokisi recession, tsananguro yayo ndiko kudiwa kwebepa kadhibhodhi prodcts kune akati wandei akateedzana makota echibvumirano. Muhupfumi hwese hweUS mukudzikira kwazvino, "Cardboard Box Recession" chiitiko chinogara chiri muhupfumi kusvika pakuderera pamberi pekutanga "mwenje dzvuku".
Wechitatu mukuru weUS kadhibhodhi anogadzira Packaging Corp yeAmerica (Packaging Corp of America) yakazivisa svondo rino, zvichitevera kudzikira kwe12.7% mukota yekutanga, kuderera kukuru kwerekodhi, mushure mechikamu chechipiri.Corrugated Cardboardkutengesa kwakadonha 9.8% gore-ne-gore. Zvinoenderana nedata rakanyorwa neFreightWaves Research, kambani yehungwaru yekugovera, iyo US Packaging Corp yeAmerica muzvikamu zviviri zvekupedzisira zvekudzikira kwekutengesa kwemakadhibhokisi emakadhibhokisi zvakarova zvakanyanya kubva kutanga kwa2009.
Iyo Federal Reserve yekukurumidza mubereko mubereko inokwira yakaderedza kudiwa kwemakadhibhokisi, uye kuda kungave kuri kupinda mukuderera kwenguva refu. Panguva ye26 yemunharaunda, sezvaitarisirwa nevakawanda nemusika, Fed yakasimudza bhenji yayo yekufarira mubereko ne25 basis points kusvika ku22-year high ye5.25% -5.5% pamusangano wayo weChikunguru. Kusvika pari zvino, kubva munaKurume 2022 kuvhura kutenderera kwazvino kwemhindu kukwira kubva pakuita, Fed yakasimudza mibairo inokwana kagumi neimwe, kukurumidza kukurumidza kwemhindu kukwira kubva kuma1980s.
Kuderera mukatipepa boardkutakura zvinhu chiratidzo chezvinetso zvoupfumi zvakakura.” Kudzikira kuri kupi?” Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO weQI Research, akaenda kumasocial media mapuratifomu kuti arege kunyomba matambudziko akafumurwa nekushanda kwemakambani ekurongedza eUS.
IUS iri pakati pekuderera kwe “cardboard box recession,” izvo zvinogona kukonzeresa kushomeka kwemusika wemabasa uye kudzvanyirira mihoro yemakambani, asi zvakare zvinogona kukonzera kudzikira kwakanyanya kweinflation mukupera kwegore.
Klein Topper akadaro mumushumo nemusi weMuvhuro, kunyange hazvo kuderera kwehupfumi kuchiwanzoita kuti zvikamu zvese zvehupfumi zvidzikire, asi parizvino zvikamu zvekugadzira nekutengeserana chete zvadzikira zvakanyanya. Sekureva kweUS Fiber Box Association, izvi zvakonzera kudzikira kwekuda kwemabhokisi emakadhibhokisi - chiratidzo chisingatarisirwi chekuderera kwehupfumi kwakatangira kuderera kwehupfumi hweUS.
Kunyange zvazvo US haina kuzivisa zviri pamutemo kuti hupfumi huri mukuderera, asi Knechteling Top yakati hupfumi hweUnited States huri mu "cardboard box recession", izvo zvinogona kutungamirira kumusika wemabasa usina simba, mabhizimisi anotarisana nekudzvinyirira kukuru kwekubatsira. Vagadziri vemari vanogonawo kuona yakaderera musika wemari inodzoka, kunyanya kana iyo isina simba maitiro ichipararira kune mamwe maindasitiri senge masevhisi.
Asi kudzikira kwacho kunogona kupawo kupenya kwetariro yekudzikira kwekukwira kwemitengo, sezvo mitengo yekugadzira - kusanganisira mitengo yemakadhibhokisi - muUS PMI data inowanzoita mwedzi mitanhatu pamberi peinflation.
Iyo data yakaratidza kuti US yakashandisa corrugated carton (OCC) mitengo yakakwira kwemwedzi wechipiri wakateedzana munzvimbo zhinji dzeNorth America muvhiki yekutanga yaMay, ichikwidza avhareji yemutengo weOCC wemwedzi. Pakazere, avhareji US OCC mutengo wakakwira madhora gumi nemaviri kubva muna Ndira.
Manomwe ematunhu mapfumbamwe akatevedzwa neRISI's P&PW yakashuma yakakwira OCC mitengo mukutanga kwaMay. Kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva, Kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva, Midwestern, Maodzanyemba kwakadziva kumadokero, uye Pacific Northwestern US, mitengo yeFOB yemutengesi yakakwira madhora mashanu.
Kune epamba US mapepa chigayo mashandiro, mitengo yeOCC yakadonha kune ese magiredhi akawanda munzvimbo dzeLos Angeles neSan Francisco. Iyi ndiyo chete dunhu rinonzi rinopfuura zvinodiwa. Kune OCC uye DLK nyowani, kugadzirwa kwegiredhi rakawanda kunonzi kunoramba kumire, kusvika 25% muUS.
Huyero hwemusika weChina makadhibhokisi bhokisi indasitiri yakasvika makumi emabhiriyoni eRMB muna 2023, kuwedzera kweinoda kusvika gumi kubva pagore rapfuura. Uku kuwedzera kwechikamu chemusika kunonyanya kukonzerwa nekukura kwakasimba kwehupfumi hweChina, kuwedzera e-commerce indasitiri, uye logistics indasitiri.
Nguva yekutumira: Zvita-02-2023